There's
an old joke that says, "Want a hot tip? Buy low, sell
high." Of course, that "tip" will only be
"hot" if the price is also rising.
Recent
indicators all around us are signaling a very cool market.
Some speculate a recession is near. That usually means falling
stock prices. Therefore, the old hot tip of "buy low,
sell high" might not come to pass anytime soon.
So,
how about a new tip? Sell high, buy low. In the dice game
of craps, that's called betting against the dice, or "don't
pass." In the more scholarly circles of finance, it's
known as the "short sale."
In
other words, while everyone else is bemoaning the decline
in the price of the stocks they bought low with the hope
of selling high, the short seller happily watches the prices
fall.
But how do you sell something you don't already own?
Here's
an examination of short selling.
A
short sale is the sale of a stock you don't own -- yet.
Investors who sell short believe the price will fall. If
the price drops, they can buy the stock at the lower price
and make a profit. On the other hand, if the price of the
stock rises and you buy it back later at the higher price,
you will incur a loss.
When
you sell short, your brokerage firm loans you the stock.
The stock you borrow comes from either the firm's own inventory,
the margin account of one of its clients or another brokerage
firm.
The
practice of "naked short selling" is selling the
shares without first arranging to borrow them.
As
a basic example, Quirky Telecom Inc. is trading at $80 a
share. The investor borrows shares of Quirky Telecom Inc.
stock at $80 a share and immediately sells them.
Later, Quirky Telecom's stock price declines to $60 a share,
and the investor buys shares back on the open market, replacing
the borrowed shares. The investor can't realize the profit
until they buy back shares of Quirky Telecom on the open
market. The profit is $20 a share, less commissions and
fees, of course. Voila -- sell high, buy low.
However,
if the price rises, the investor loses money, possibly an
unlimited amount, since a stock price can theoretically
rise indefinitely.
Just
as people who bet against the dice at the craps tables aren't
very popular, short sellers often are regarded with disdain
and distrust. In fact, short selling wasn't always legal.
In the 18th century, England banned it entirely, since the
practice was thought to have escalated the dramatic downturn
in the Dutch tulip market in the 17th century.
Rule
10a-1 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 banned
short selling during a downtick. A downtick is when a transaction
occurs at a price below that of the previous transaction.
That rule was ended in 2007. The Investment Company Act
of 1940 banned mutual funds from short selling. That law
was lifted in 1997.
Certain
market conditions generate mass short-selling activity,
particularly during "bubbles," times of irrationally
high prices. During such periods, short sellers hope for
a market correction. Significant positive news announcements
often cause the market to react illogically, simply because
of media attention.
Short
sellers use the opportunity to sell into the buying frenzy
and wait for the exaggerated reaction to subside before
covering their position. Negative news, such as litigation
against a company, also will entice professional traders
to sell the stock short.
Short
sellers frequently are regarded with disdain because, in
the views of many people, they're profiting from the misfortune
of others. Some businesses campaign against sellers who
are shorting them, sometimes bringing litigation.
The
practice of naked short selling is getting more regulatory
scrutiny.
Conversely,
advocates of short selling say that the practice is an essential
part of the price-discovery process. Short seller's scrutiny
of companies' finances has led to fraud discoveries, which
were glossed over or ignored by investors who had held the
companies' stock long.
Although
the vast majority of short sales are legal, abusive short
sale practices are illegal. For example, it's prohibited
for any person to engage in a series of transactions in
order to create actual or apparent trading activity, or
to depress the price of a security for the purpose of inducing
the purchase or sale of the security by others. The SEC
prohibits short sales designed merely to manipulate the
price of a stock.
To
keep short selling, especially naked short selling, honest
and non-abusive, the SEC adopted Regulation SHO in 2005.
More information about the regulation and short selling
in general may be found at www.sec.gov/spotlight/keyregshoissues.htm.