A
recent advertising package from a financial company exhorted
the benefits of an "Interest Cancellation Account."
The claim was that by becoming involved with their institution,
a consumer could "cancel" interest charges on
their mortgage.
Using
evocative phrases such as, "dramatically reduce interest"
and "innovative principles of money management,"
the company seemed to imply it had discovered some miraculous
way to erase most of the cost of borrowing.
The
company had built an entire campaign around one of the basic
principles of finance -- the time value of money. Repay
debt more quickly and the interest cost is reduced. Invest
money as soon as possible and the total return increases.
You don't pay interest on money you don't owe.
As
with all financial transactions, there are always two sides
-- a lender and a borrower. Both are concerned with the
time value of money from opposite ends of the spectrum.
More importantly, all of us are simultaneously lenders and
borrowers affected by time.
The
simplest explanation of the time value of money is that
a dollar today is worth more than the promise of a dollar
tomorrow or at any time in the future, and it's worth less
than the dollar you had yesterday.
Part
of the reason is daily compounding of interest, but there
are other factors affecting why a dollar has different values
at different times. Most relate to risk.
Interest
is compensation for certain risks, including time. If there's
no risk, there's no interest. Therefore, something must
be at risk before interest can be "canceled."
You
have choices regarding the dollar you have today. You can
spend it, invest it or hold it. These choices are opportunity
cost. That is, what you don't choose as opposed to what
you do choose. Your choices for today's dollar closely relate
to time.
If
you spend the dollar, you have purchased something you want
or need, and you have it now.
If
you invest it, it will earn a return and therefore yield
more than $1 at some point.
If
you hold it, you still have the choice to make in the future,
but you have foregone having today whatever you might have
purchased, and you have foregone the opportunity to invest
it at today's rate, term and type.
The
promise of a dollar tomorrow carries some risk, often called
the collection risk. You might not get it or get it when
promised. Depending on the source of your promised dollar,
it may have almost no risk or it may have a high one.
Generally,
collection risk increases with time, meaning a dollar owed
to you tomorrow has less risk of not being repaid than a
dollar owed to you next year. More things can happen to
prevent the future payment in the intervening time.
Interest
rate risk is also involved in the concept of time value.
Market rates fluctuate, and the expectation of whether rates
will rise or fall affects loan and investment decisions.
If you think that rates are going to increase tomorrow,
you could wait to invest that dollar then at a higher rate
than you would receive today. If you think rates will decrease,
you would invest the dollar today.
Today's
dollar, then, has more value than the one you get tomorrow
for yet another reason. If rates decrease, not having the
dollar today means the opportunity to invest at the higher
rate was lost. As with credit risk, the amount of interest
rate risk also increases the farther into the future the
payment is expected.
Another
central factor is inflation. If prices are rising, that
dollar in your hand will buy less tomorrow than it will
today. This doesn't mean buy everything now. It does need
to be considered when making choices about what to do with
the dollar and if it's invested, what return will be needed
to keep ahead of rising prices.
Finally,
we come to interest and its role. Interest is an incentive
to put dollars to work earning money rather than spending
it or holding it. Loans are the reverse from the borrower's
perspective. The borrower is willing to pay for having the
money today.
The
interest paid is incentive for the lender to make the funds
available as loan funds rather than use the money elsewhere.
The interest rate is directly related to each of the risks
described above, and results from the fact that money has
different value at different times.
The
forces of the time value of money are constantly operating.
All of us are simultaneous borrows and lenders. Remembering
to consider both sides of any time-money situation will
lead to clear and understandable fiscal choices.