The
ancient Greek Archimedes said, "Give me a lever that
is long enough, give me a fulcrum that is strong enough
and give me a place to stand and single-handed, I'll move
the world." He was describing the physics of "leverage."
Recently,
The Wall Street Journal reported that "leveraged debt,
part of the credit bubble" was making a comeback.
In
finance, leverage is borrowed money. To the extent assets
are controlled by borrowed money, that's financial leverage.
But furthermore, when the money that's lent to a consumer
also is borrowed, that creates debt upon debt - or leveraged
debt. The credit bubble is made up of the multiple lenders
that sit between the ultimate lender and ultimate borrower.
The
term "leveraged buyout" (LBO) frequently is used
in connection with acquisitions.
Companies buy control of another company (hopefully an asset)
using borrowed funds. If the increase in value of the asset
is greater than the cost of the borrowed funds, the leverage
is positive and the acquiring entity's return would be amplified.
For
example, a manufacturing firm is considering purchasing
a new machine for $250,000. The new machine will produce
a new line of goods that the company believes will generate
a profit of $75,000.
Without
any borrowed money (leverage), the return on the cash purchase
will be 30 percent. That is, a $75,000 profit divided by
the $250,000 cash investment.
However,
when the firm's banker provides a $125,000 loan to finance
50 percent of the investment at an interest rate of 12 percent,
the business now can purchase the machine with $125,000
cash and $125,000 debt.
The
debt will cost $15,000 per annum in interest expense and
will reduce the $75,000 profit to $60,000. However, dividing
the profit of $60,000 by only $125,000 drives return on
cash to 48 percent. (This example ignores the income-tax
effect.)
Financial
leverage is a powerful amplifier. Whatever you're doing,
profitable or not, financial leverage will magnify the result.
If the leveraged asset produces less return than the cost
of the borrowed funds, the firm's losses will corkscrew
downward at a head-spinning rate.
But
there's even more to consider. If the $125,000 that was
loaned to the firm by the bank also was borrowed, the bank
also is subject to the effects of leverage. On top of that,
add two or three more lenders in the chain and you have
layered leverage - a very risky position for all participants.
In
a high-growth economy or industry, leverage generally is
a good thing, particularly when the borrowed money is used
to finance fixed assets (plant) or real estate, which will
produce an unattended cash-flow stream.
This
was the case in the cable television boom of the late 1970s
and early '80s, and in the housing market when it seemed
that real estate values never would fall.
Unfortunately,
entrepreneurs attempted to repeat this model in the telecommunications
industry during the mid-to-late '90s and in the real estate
boom of the mid-2000s.
For
a variety of reasons, the cash-flow stream didn't materialize.
Therefore, the borrowers who built the plant had highly
amplified expense requirements. The result was the telecom
implosion of 2000.
For
the same underlying reason (too much layered leverage),
the economic system collapsed in late 2008 as every decline
in real estate value was amplified and rippled through the
chain of multilayered leverage.
When
analyzing a particular company for potential investment,
the "debt ratio" (total debt divided by total
assets) and the "debt-to-equity ratio" (total
debt divided by equity) are important indicators of long-term
solvency and risk.
Furthermore,
the sophisticated investor now should look to the financial
statements of the firm that's providing the loans to the
target investment. In other words, today's investor must
dig out the layered leverage. This involves peeling back
several layers of the financial onion skin.
Another
application of financial leverage is called "margin."
Most commonly used in stock market and futures trading,
margin is the amount of money your broker will loan on a
given purchase.
For
example, many brokerage houses will loan 50 percent of the
purchase price of a security. If the price of the security
rises, this is good news for the investor. If not, the investor
must provide even more cash to maintain the 50 percent ratio.
What's
the bottom line on financial leverage? If the underlying
object of leverage performs well, so will you. If the value
of the asset falls, the loss will be accelerated. Additionally,
and maybe even more importantly today, the savvy investor
will investigate further, looking for multilayered leverage.