The
R&B singer Billy Preston pined in 1974, "Nothin'
from nothin' leaves nothin'. You gotta bring me somethin'
if you wanna be with me."
If
a person wanted to bring Billy "something," but
had "nothing," what could they do? Where do any
of us turn when we crave "something from nothing"?
The
answer? Arbitrage.
Arbitrage
is defined to be the simultaneous purchase and sale of a
security (or anything else for that matter) in order to
profit from a difference in the price. This usually takes
place on separate exchanges or marketplaces.
For
example, if the price of a stock on the New York Stock Exchange
is $10 per share, but is $8 on the Frankfurt exchange, the
$2 difference could be an immediate profit requiring zero
investment.
How
it works:
The
arbitrageur sells on the New York exchange while simultaneously
buying on the Frankfurt exchange. Because the transactions
theoretically are simultaneous, there's an immediate gain
of $2 per share.
Furthermore,
since the gain is guaranteed by the disparity in price,
there's no limit on the number shares that could bought
and sold. A 100 million-share purchase coupled with a simultaneous
100 million-share sale nets the arbitrageur a quick $200
million.
The
concept of arbitrage isn't limited to financial instruments.
The procedure could be applied to any situation where there
is an immediate opportunity to buy and sell concurrently
at different prices. It can happen even on eBay.
For
example, Wal-Mart is selling the "Barbarella"
DVD for $10. However, the last copies of it on eBay have
sold for an average of $25. The arbitrageur buys copies
of the movie at Wal-Mart, then sells them on eBay for an
almost-instant profit of $15.
But
this won't continue for long, as one of three things (the
application of the "Efficient Market Hypothesis")
should happen:
o
Wal-Mart runs out of "Barbarella."
o
Wal-Mart raises the price on the remaining copies because
of increased demand.
o
The supply of "Barbarella" DVDs skyrockets on
eBay, which causes the price to fall.
This
kind of arbitrage is common. Many eBay sellers will go to
flea markets and yard sales, looking for collectibles that
the seller doesn't know the true value of and has priced
too low. For instance, buying rare collections of video
games for $10, then selling them on eBay for $100.
This
example isn't quite pure arbitrage because it requires a
small amount of "something" to establish the initial
inventory. And as more information enters the marketplace
(both at Wal-Mart and eBay), the price difference will close
and become equal.
This
equalization is known as an "efficient" market.
In an efficient market, all information is known across
all trading places. With a sufficient number of participants
buying and selling, prices will equalize, making pure arbitrage
impossible. Timing is critical.
One
of the most alluring and active areas of arbitrage is currency
exchange, particularly cross-currency arbitrage. This usually
involves complex mathematics, such as matrix algebra, and
the ability to execute trades quickly before the disparity
is discovered.
For
example, while traveling in Europe we discover that, given
certain circumstances, we can exchange dollars for francs,
francs for pounds, pounds for deutsche marks and finally
the deutsche marks for the original dollars - spawning a
small profit. Using elementary matrix algebra to search
for an unbalanced matrix, we can instantly identify a profitable
currency arbitrage opportunity.
Without
recounting all the intricate details of the calculations
here, suffice it say that with a PC and real-time currency
data feeds, it's easy to create hundreds of matrices - each
containing a different set of exchange rates. The system
then could automatically alert the user about temporary
currency exchange imbalances that could be exploited before
economic forces restore equilibrium.
For
those interested in exploring cross-currency arbitrage more
closely, visit www.forexondemand.com,
www.ac-markets.com
or www.fxdd.com.
Sound too complicated? Wait, there's more.
Consider
arbitrage as it relates to derivatives. In this case, synthetic
securities are created by combining an asset with one or
more options or futures contracts. This hybrid security
then is used as a basis for searching out other single or
combined securities for an arbitrage trade.
Timing,
of course, is everything. The forces of the efficient market
hypothesis generally close arbitrage windows of opportunity
very quickly.
Another
important factor is transaction costs. The fees brokers
charge to execute the trades must be considered in the calculations.
In other words, the price difference must be large enough
to cover the broker's charges.
There
may be no such thing as a free lunch, but arbitrage remains
a very attractive buffet.