Headlines
in the financial press often include the word "derivatives,"
usually associated with a problem, loss or conflict. But,
what are derivatives? How are they used? Why are these securities
so often the object of derision?
Following
is a brief exploration of derivatives, aka synthetic securities.
Derivatives
began as the combination of an asset with an agreement to
buy or sell that asset as a specified price. Thus the term
"synthetic security." The intent was to limit
(or transfer) the risk of loss.
The
transfer of risk is accomplished through the use of option
or futures contracts. Due to the number of possible combinations,
options and futures contracts can be a bit mystifying and
complicated at first. Yet they are nothing more than either
a promise to buy or a promise to sell. These
promises to buy or sell are linked to everything from specific
commodities (orange juice or sugar) to the stock market
and money itself. Options and futures contracts may also
apply to overall market indices such as the S&P 500
or Dow Jones Industrial Average.
A
basic example is: an investor owns XYZ security purchased
for $100. While holding that security, the investor assumes
all of the risk of the price either rising or falling. Theoretically,
the risk of loss is $100 and the reward is unlimited. If
this risk is too large, the investor also enters into an
agreement to sell XYZ security at $80 anytime within the
next 12 months.
The
combination of these two securities creates a synthetic
investment with a guaranteed loss limit of $20, hence a
derivative. The fees associated with entering into the options
contract is the premium for this risk of loss insurance.
Since
1977 when the Chicago Board of Trade introduced a futures
contract based on the U.S. 20-year bond, the market for
derivative securities has become very large. Worldwide,
these securities provide "insurance" on an estimated
$16 trillion of financial instruments. Their economic function
is to transfer risk from those who do not want to bear it
to those who are willing to bear it for a fee.
Derivatives
are also commonly used by companies involved in international
trade. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates represent
a high degree of risk.
The
most active derivatives in currencies include: Deutschemark/dollar;
Japanese Yen/dollar; Swiss Franc/dollar; British Pound/dollar;
French Franc/dollar. As a further hedge against international
volatility, international equity indices are also used to
create derivative securities that limit risk. Examples include:
the S&P 500 Index (U.S.A.); Nikkei 225 Index (Japan);
CAC 40 Index (France); FTSE-100 index (UK); DAX Index (Germany).
Creating
a derivative security based upon an instrument the investor
already owns is called "hedging." Hedgers are
farmers, manufacturers, importers and exporters, and securities
investors. A hedger buys or sells in the futures markets
to secure the future price of a commodity intended to be
sold at a later date. This helps protect against price decrease.
Entering
into options or futures contracts (sometimes more than one
at a time) without owning the underlying security is referred
to "speculation," or "being naked."
Speculators
do not aim to minimize risk but rather to benefit from the
inherently risky nature of the futures market. Speculators
aspire to profit from the price change that hedgers are
protecting themselves against. In other words, rather than
transferring existing risk, the speculator hopes that the
hedging activities of others will increase the price of
the option or futures contract for themselves.
This
is the cause of the negativity and disapproval regarding
derivatives. As hedging activities within companies increase
and become more intricate, the risk of loss rises. Firm
may unintentionally find themselves speculating rather than
hedging simply because of multifarious positions created
by simultaneous derivative positions. Another factor may
be the lure of excess profits from speculating on top of
an existing hedging activity.
In
March, 2004 it was reported that Fannie Mae paid a net $25.1
billion for derivatives transactions in fewer than four
years - nearly all of which may represent losses that cannot
be recouped. Gibson Greetings and Proctor & Gamble lost
$20 million and $157 million respectively from derivative
transactions.
In
response to rising concerns that derivatives were undermining
the basic efficiency and stability of financial markets,
The Financial Economists Roundtable concluded that derivatives
serve a highly useful risk-management role for both financial
and non-financial firms.
Although
some major derivative users, mutual funds, hedge funds,
securities firms, and even banks have incurred derivatives-related
losses, most of these losses have been due to inadequate
risk-management systems and poor operations control and
supervision.
However,
these losses have not threatened the overall stability and
efficiency of financial markets. The best discipline against
risk in any market, including derivatives, is to ensure
that participants have an incentive to manage themselves
prudently.