While
the markets often focus on items such as net income, total
assets, earnings per share, net worth, PE ratio, etc., the
fact is this: You can't spend any of those things. You can,
however, spend cash -- arguably the most important measure
of immediate value.
Unfortunately,
the "Consolidated Statement of Cash-flows" is
the last document in a presentation of "Standard Financial
Statements." First is the Balance Sheet (primarily
a measure of assets), then the Income Statement (mainly
a presentation of earnings) and after that, almost as an
afterthought, is the Cash-Flow statement. By the time most
readers digest the first two presentations, there's hardly
space for the beleaguered Statement of Cash-Flows. Nevertheless,
this statement is the most valuable component of the financials.
Why? Because cash is cash; you can spend cash.
Since
our society has evolved to the point where we use "fiat
money" rather than actual merchandise in our transactions,
cash is the medium by which we convert and conduct all our
business. ("Fiat money" is money the government
declares is legal tender, rather than something of intrinsic
value such as chickens, firewood, etc.) By contrast, if
we still lived in a commodities-based culture such as farming,
for example, we might create a report called the Statement
of Cow-Flows.
For
the investor, the Statement of Cash-Flows is the place to
start when looking for insights into the management of an
enterprise. Aside from the obvious measure of how much cash
is on hand, the statement shows where the currency came
from and where it went. The Statement of Cash-Flows provides
three major categories for presentation. They are: cash
provided by or (used) from 1) operating activities; 2) investing
activities; and 3) financing activities.
The
first thing to observe on a Statement of Cash-Flows is the
proportion of cash provided by each of the three areas mentioned
above. The mixture provides an indication of the company's
maturity, focus, strength and emphasis. A company whose
main source of cash is not from operations may be new, in
transition, in trouble, heavily involved in ancillary activities
or any combination thereof.
The
reason there is such a need for cash-flow analysis is due
to something called "accrual" accounting. Under
the accrual method of accounting, a company may recognize
revenue as soon as there is an event that creates an obligation
on the part of the customer to pay. The same is true for
expenses documented by the company when it has an obligation
to pay a supplier. Revenue
does not mean cash was received. Expense does not mean cash
was paid out. There is a vast difference between revenue
from operating activities and cash from operating activities.
You can't spend revenue.
An
example of accrual accounting is: I "sell" you
a glass of lemonade on a hot day, you give me a smile and
promise to pay me in a week. I gave you the product, you
promised to pay me, but I have no cash. Therefore, I earned
some revenue but received no fiat money for my goods.
Within
the category of "cash from operating activities,"
there are several things the potential investor will want
to note, including:
o
Gains or losses from the sale of assets -- Is
the company inflating net income through the sale of assets,
rather than sound operating activities?
o
Gains or losses from the sale of investments -- The
investor should ascertain what the investments were in the
first place and why they were sold.
o
Cash provided or used by certain changes in receivables,
payables, prepaid expenses, and inventory -- If the
amounts for receivables and payables are not substantially
the same, there may be a collection problem. If payables
are increasing, there may be an underlying cash crunch or
a brewing dispute with a supplier. Excessive inventory buildup
or depletion may be discovered here as well.
A
basic sign of a mature, vigorous company is that cash from
operations is greater than net income. If that's not the
case, then the prospective investor must look deeper to
discover what's really going on. Many times it means that
the firm is new and still raising capital or investing in
plant and equipment. However, the savvy investor will know
this by analysis, not assumption.
Within
the "cash from investing and financing activities,"
notable items to watch for are:
o
Capital expenditures -- Is the company investing in
itself? The type of purchases should be revealed in the
"notes to the financial statements."
o
Dividends paid -- Watch for trend fluctuations. If there
is a jump from previous periods, ask why.
o
Issuance or repurchase of stock -- Did the company recently
issue a significant amount of stock? What will this do to
your current or contemplated holdings? Any large amounts
reported as "certain other" deserve special investigative
attention.
Amid
ever-increasing uncertainty and distrust of financial reporting,
one statement remains readily available as a window into
the real dealings of a firm. The next time you pick up an
annual report, read the Statement of Cash Flows first. Because
at the end of the day, cash is what you want. Why? Because
cash is cash -- and you can spend cash.