The
R&B singer Billy Preston pined in 1974, "Nothin'
from nothin' leaves nothin'. You gotta bring me somethin'
if you wanna be with me."
If
a person wanted to bring Billy "something," but
had "nothing;" what could they do? Where do any
of us turn when we crave "something from nothing?"
The
answer? Arbitrage!
Arbitrage
is defined to be the simultaneous purchase and sale of a
security (or anything else for that matter) in order to
profit from a difference in the price. This usually takes
place on separate exchanges or marketplaces.
For
example, if the price of a stock on the New York Stock Exchange
is $10 per share, but on the Frankfurt exchange, $8 per
share, the $2 difference could be an immediate profit requiring
zero investment. Here's how it would work.
The
"Arbitrageur" sells on the New York exchange while
simultaneously buying on the Frankfurt exchange. Since the
transactions are theoretically simultaneous, there is an
immediate gain of $2 per share.
Furthermore,
since the gain is guaranteed by the disparity in price,
there is no limit, (except total shares issued and available
for trading) on the number shares that could be bought and
sold. A 100-million-share purchase coupled with a simultaneous
100 million share sale nets the arbitrageur a quick $200
million.
The
concept of arbitrage is not limited to financial instruments.
The procedure could be applied to any situation where there
is an immediate opportunity to buy and sell concurrently
at different prices. It even can even happen on eBay.
For
example, Wal-Mart is selling the DVD of Barbarella for $10.
However,
the last copies of Barbarella on eBay have sold for an average
of $25. The arbitrageur buys copies of the movie at $10
from Wal-Mart and sells them on eBay for an almost instant
profit of $15. .
But,
this will not continue for long, as one of three things
(the application of the "Efficient Market Hypothesis")
should happen.
-
Wal-Mart runs out of copies of Barbarella on DVD.
-
Wal-Mart raises the price on the remaining copies as they've
seen an increased demand for the movie.
-
The supply of Barbarella DVDs skyrockets on eBay, which
causes the price to fall.
This
kind of arbitrage is quite common. Many eBay sellers will
go to flea markets and yard sales looking for collectibles
that the seller does not know the true value of and has
priced much too low. For instance, buying rare collections
of video games for $10 then selling them on eBay for $100
This
example is not quite pure arbitrage because it requires
a small amount of "something" to establish the
initial inventory. Moreover as the example above shows,
as more information enters the marketplace (both at Wal-Mart
and eBay); the price difference will close and become equal.
This
equalization is known as an "efficient" market.
In an efficient market, all information is known across
all trading places. With a sufficient number of participants
buying and selling, prices will equalize making pure arbitrage
impossible. Timing is critical.
One
of the most alluring and active areas of arbitrage is currency
exchange; particularly cross-currency arbitrage. This usually
involves complex mathematics, such as matrix algebra, and
the ability to execute trades quickly before the disparity
is discovered.
For
example, while traveling in Europe we discover that, given
certain circumstances, we can exchange dollars for francs,
francs for pounds, pounds for deutsche marks, and finally
the deutsche marks for the original dollars spawning a small
profit.
Using
elementary matrix algebra searching for an unbalanced matrix,
we can instantly identify a profitable currency arbitrage
opportunity.
Without
recounting all the intricate details of the calculations
here, suffice it to say that with a PC and real-time currency
data feeds it's easy to create hundreds of matrices-- each
containing a different set of exchange rates. The system
could then automatically alert the user of temporary currency
exchange imbalances that could be exploited before economic
forces restore equilibrium.
For
those interested in exploring cross-currency arbitrage more
closely, visit the following websites: www.3d2f.com,
www.finaldownload.com,
www.888options.com,
and www.tradelikethepros.com.
If
all this is beginning to sound too complicated, there's
more.
Consider
arbitrage as it relates to derivatives. In this case, synthetic
securities are created by combining an asset with one or
more options or futures contracts. This hybrid-security
is then used as a basis for searching out other single or
combined securities for an arbitrage trade.
Timing
is everything. The forces of the efficient market hypothesis
generally close arbitrage windows of opportunity very quickly.
Another
important factor is transaction coats. The fees charged
by brokers to execute the trades must be considered in the
calculations. In other words, the price difference must
be large enough to cover the broker's charges.
There
may be no such thing as a free lunch, but arbitrage remains
an attractive buffet.